Difference between revisions of "Section 5: Future directions (from DOI:10.14218/ERHM.2020.00023)"
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| − | <h3><u>Section 5: Future directions</u></h3><p>Despite the high correlation coefficients in retrospective study/modeling, the prediction-models based on the search-interest trend reached low accuracies during a 7-day follow-up. Additional studies are warranted to understand and improve these models. Why the prediction model failed should also be examined. The April 3 CDC recommendation of more indications for mask-use might be one of the reasons. Finally, the factors linked to and the epidemiological significance of lag time revealed by this study should also be further explored.</p> | + | <b>From publication:</b> "Trends and Prediction in Daily New Cases and Deaths of COVID-19 in the United States: An Internet Search-Interest Based Model" published as Explor Res Hypothesis Med; 2020 Apr 18 ; 5 (2) 1-6. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14218/ERHM.2020.00023 <br><br><h3><u>Section 5: Future directions</u></h3><p>Despite the high correlation coefficients in retrospective study/modeling, the prediction-models based on the search-interest trend reached low accuracies during a 7-day follow-up. Additional studies are warranted to understand and improve these models. Why the prediction model failed should also be examined. The April 3 CDC recommendation of more indications for mask-use might be one of the reasons. Finally, the factors linked to and the epidemiological significance of lag time revealed by this study should also be further explored.</p> |
Latest revision as of 15:07, 23 June 2020
From publication: "Trends and Prediction in Daily New Cases and Deaths of COVID-19 in the United States: An Internet Search-Interest Based Model" published as Explor Res Hypothesis Med; 2020 Apr 18 ; 5 (2) 1-6. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14218/ERHM.2020.00023
Section 5: Future directions
Despite the high correlation coefficients in retrospective study/modeling, the prediction-models based on the search-interest trend reached low accuracies during a 7-day follow-up. Additional studies are warranted to understand and improve these models. Why the prediction model failed should also be examined. The April 3 CDC recommendation of more indications for mask-use might be one of the reasons. Finally, the factors linked to and the epidemiological significance of lag time revealed by this study should also be further explored.
